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FRIENDLY FIRE: CPAC Fallout and the Santorum Surge

They fight and fight. They fight and fight and fight…Lynn Krogh and Vince Casale might play for the same team, but that doesn’t mean they agree about anything. Welcome to a new weekly feature on the blog…FRIENDLY FIRE! This week, CPAC and the Santorum Surge

Does Rick Santorum sweeping “No Delgate Tuesday” mean anything in the over all race?
VINCE CASALE: YES! Majority of voters are still looking for a reason to like a candidate….ANY CANDIDATE. Romney has squandered his opportunity by saying nothing. Newt may have done the same by saying too much. Santorum has been consistent and patient from the start and it appears to be paying off. I believe that voters, especially in the more conservative states, will reward candidates who they believe are genuine and committed to their beliefs and what they say. I think that Santorum is the only candidate who has been able to pull it off – well, at least the only candidate to do it and not seem completely off his rocker…

BTW – for the record…someone predicted the Santorum surge in Iowa three weeks before it happened and that same person also predicted that Santorum would play well in middle America and be able to make a serious play at the nomination against a boring Romney and imploding Newt….and that person’s initials weren’t LK!

#readytojumponthewagon

LYNN KROGH: Yes. Momentum is critical. How to create momentum… Some consultants spend their entire career mastering the “How to” of that statement. Momentum, it comes and goes as it pleases, is uber-difficult to harness and even harder to hold onto. Some campaigns never have it, others have it and lose it, and some have it at the best possible time. This is known as the bump. Santorum has experienced the bump a few times. He surged out of Iowa, ultimately winning the caucus. He’s held his ground in other southern states, like Florida and South Carolina. Most recently, with his trifecta of Minnesota, Missouri, and Colorado, I’d say that momentum’s back is Rick’s hands. And with momentum comes money, media and ultimately votes. Let’s see how Santorum harnesses this bout of momentum and who knows? Maybe he’ll hang onto it. (Cue Vince’s broken record “Santorum’s going to be our nominee.”)

What are your thoughts of CPAC, the speeches, the feedback, etc.
VC: Thank God for CPAC! It’s our opportunity each year to refocus and inoculate ourselves from the bullshit peddling conservative wannabes. The case this year was similar, or should I say “severely” similar. Every year the speeches are full of chunks of red meat that the crowd loves to eat up. I think this year’s stand outs are Marco Rubio and Sarah Palin. She seems to be becoming a perennial fav who gives the crowd what they are looking for. Also Andrew Breibart, put on a hell of a show, but some of that could be attributed to his pre speech warm-up consisting of heckling and offending the occupiers outside the event. Newt put on a good performance, but Santorium walks away the big winner – especially when it comes down to believing who actually has the best conservative cred. Speaking of credible conservatives, I think Romney was “severely” over rated and his straw poll win was the result of “severely” over stuffing the ballot box a la Ron Paul…Did anyone happen to notice a large number of BYU sweaters walking around???

LK: I’ve always enjoyed CPAC. The speeches, the attendees, the random celebs that show up and folks reactions like, “They’re Conservative?” Last year, I thoroughly enjoyed Trump’s speech about OPEC’s thieving ways. Who takes the cake this year, you ask? Santorum. Coming off his big Tuesday wins, his speech of bringing the GOP together, behind 1 nominee was the proper message for the CPAC crowd. Newt and Mitt had their own moments, for sure, but I think Santorum stole the show.

Do the result of the CPAC straw poll matter?
VC: The straw poll is fun and creates a lot of chatter during CPAC, but at the end of the day it really doesn’t matter who wins. The shelf life of the results usually see a short news cycle and then retire to history (probably in a room that looks something like the final scene of Raiders of the Lost Ark). In fact, the straw poll has only predicted the Republican Nominee three times since it started and I would bet that no one can even name them, unless you’re a complete political history dork with nothing better to do and no social life. (Ronald Regan in 1980 & 1985 and George W. Bush in 2000).

LK: Yes… For the reason I mentioned above, (momentum) and more. CPAC dominates the headlines and the 24 hour news cycle for the better part of the week. Most of the candidates fight daily for the front page and CPAC gives them the opportunity to address, not just the base, but the larger electorate in an uninterrupted fashion. The straw poll is another way to earn positive attention in an otherwise kill-or-be-killed primary. Unless the Paulbots swarm the ballot box and he wins AGAIN. Then this entire answer means shit.

Pitchers and Catchers report soon. Yankees, Mets, or its NY…they’ll choke?
VC: Yankees and I can think of 27 times they haven’t choked!

LK: I’d rather watch a pitchers duel between Josh Beckett and Phil Hughes. Hell, I’d rather watch a debate on foreign policy between between Hiroki Kuroda, Cesar Cabral, and Pedro Feliciano than the current debates we’ve been forced to endure. Go Yanks!!

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One response to “FRIENDLY FIRE: CPAC Fallout and the Santorum Surge

  1. When will one of the GOP candidates endorse across the board REAL political reform. That would unite conservatives and independents.

    http://ar20.nationbuilder.com/ar20_4_dummies

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